After the stunning New Hampshire results, it's time to check in on how the campaigns are doing with InTrade odds in ascending order of likelihood.
12. Bill Richardson: Probably should have been including him just for the fact that he has made it this far. But his campaign has never taken off and he looks to be no threat to even John Edwards. He is still a very serious VP candidate though so don't be surprised to see him on the ticket.
11. Fred Thompson: Keeps saying he's ready for states like South Carolina. His campaign is pretty much dead in the water and the 6th place in NH accentuates that. It's fragmented among the Republicans but he won't be able to take advantage.
10. Al Gore: Probably won't run. But if Clinton and Obama bruise it out and we can't settle on a nominee, is he a potential white knight? He could afford to enter late like Michael Bloomberg
9 Ron Paul: A 5th place finish in NH is a tad disappointing in a state that has a heavy amout of independents. Don't expect him to drop out anytime soon and he may run as an independent, but tonight's results probably ended any hope of the longshot winning the Republican nomination.
8. John Edwards: He can't be pleased with the Clinton comeback. He desperately needed Clinton out of the race so he could try to take on Obama one on one. Expect him to continue to be lost in the shuffle.
7. Michael Bloomberg: Seems to be preparing for a run (and in full disclosure, I will jump on his bandwagon if he does) and is probably thrilled that Clinton won tonight. The more turmoil there is among the parties, the easier path he has to step into the race. Amazing in a year like this there is still talk of people like Al Gore, Bloomberg, and I've even heard Lou Dobbs mentioned as potential late entrants. Shows the electorate is deeply unsatisfied with the way our country is going.
6. Mitt Romney: Romney is in free fall mode after losing two states he was leading not long ago. He can still turn it around, but he will probably need to win Michigan to get back in serious contention.
5. Mike Huckabee: Finishes behind Romney, and is seen as having done better. All about expectations. Very impressive finish in a state that's not known for supporting Southern evangelicals. It doesn't look like he will be going away any time soon.
4. Rudy Giuliani: At least he beat Ron Paul and Fred Thompson this time. Still don't know much about Rudy's prospects as his strategy is for late delegate pickups in the big states.
3. John McCain: I predicted after the 2006 midterms that McCain would win the 2008 Presidency. He is finally showing that promise after his campaign seemed to be finished last summer. Big win tonight.
2. Barack Obama: Why did he lose NH? Too conservative in the late game? Hillary's tears? Voters lying and not willing to vote for a black man in secrecy? No idea, but as I said before (and foolishly discounted in my early predictions) don't count the Clintons out. A huge setback for the Obama camp and it's clearly going to be a hard slog for the nomination.
1. Hillary Clinton: This morning they were having to discount that Hillary was leaving the race upon being trounced by Obama. Well...she didn't get trounced. A stunning win to all those including the Clinton camp.
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